Read in Catalan

After Pedro Sánchez's failed investiture last week when the Socialist candidate did not manage to reach agreements for a coalition government, today there is reporting of a new offer from PSOE's leader to Pablo Iglesias' Unidas Podemos party. This move comes after both Izquierda Unida and the anti-establishment radical left, Anticapitalistas, expressed their potential support for a one-party PSOE minority government on Friday, the day after the failed investiture.

If no government is invested by late September, Spain will head to a new general election in November, its fourth in as many years. Today, results of a survey from CIS, the Spanish Centre for Sociological Research, show that PSOE would win such an election with 41.3% of the vote.

The Partido Popular (PP) would be in second position, with 13.7% of the direct voting intent in the results, just ahead of Unidas Podemos on 13.1%, and Ciudadanos (Cs) on 12.3%. Notable is Cs' fall of more than three points, going from second place in the previous poll to fourth now.


Thus, according to the CIS, PSOE continues to rise and approach an absolute majority. The Socialists grow thirteen points on the results of the 28th April general election, up from 28.68%, and two on the previous CIS barometer, in which it already had a leading position with 39.5% of voting intention.

The second party, at some distance, almost 28 points, would be PP, which would drop three points from the last election, but maintain the same percentage as the CIS's June barometer, 13.7%. Below, we could find Unidas Podemos and its confluences, with 13.1%. The fourth position would be for Cs, whish recedes three points in one month, from 15.8 to 12.3%.

Far-right party Vox would see the biggest drop since 28th April, losing more than half of its votes. It finds itself on 4.6%, down from 5.1% last time.

Catalan pro-independence ruling party Esquerra Republicana (ERC) climbs almost one point, from 3.9 to 4.5%, compared to the last CIS, and a point and a half compared to the election results, and Junts per Catalunya (JxCat) comes in seventh place, rising from 1.2 to 1.6% of the direct voting intent from the previous CIS, and dropping three tenths of a point from the 28th April elections.

The centre-right Partido Nacionalista Vasco (PNB) drops one tenth of a point to 1.4%, while left-wing EH Bildu grows from 0.8 to 1.1%. Navarra Suma stays on 0.3 percent of the vote, but Valencian party Compromís loses half of its support.

The survey took place from July 1st to the 11th, while negotiations for the investiture of Pedro Sánchez were underway. Thus, they reflect results prior to the failed investiture due to lack of agreement between the PSOE and Podemos.